| | P(A|B) means the probability of the event (subset) A given the set B. A^B indicates the intersection of A and B. '*' stands for ordinary multiplication '=' stands for equality.
Theorem: Every subset B has probabilistic independence with respect to its reference set X. Note the reference set X can qualify as an event within X, since X qualifies as a subset of X. Proof: A set Z gets called independent of a set V if it does not depend on V. In other words, V has no effect on A. So, P(Z|V)=P(Z). The probability of a subset B P(B) equals P(B|X) since the definition gives us X with B as a subset of X. In other words P(B)=P(B|X). So, B qulaifies as independent of X. If we use the definitition that B is independent of X iff P(B^X)=P(B)*P(X), the theorem still holds, since P(B^X)=P(B) since B^X=B, and since P(X)=1, P(B)*P(X)=P(B)*1=P(B).
One can comment here and say that the whole notion of probabilistic independence suffers from a sort of semantic paradox if one doesn't stick to a formal notion of "independence." A subset B of a reference set X, does depend on its reference set in the sense that one can define the subset B in terms of a collection of indicator functions for its members with respect to the reference set X. E.G. for the reference set {1, 3, 5}=A we can define a subset B by using the indicator function I(xn) for each member of A. Iff I(xn)=1, then xn belongs to B, while iff I(xn)=0, then xn does not belong to B. For instance, for {1, 3} we can define {1, 3} in terms of an indicator function I(xn) which here yields I(1)=1, I(3)=1, I(5)=0. So, we can write {(1, 1), (3, 1), (5, 0)} for {1, 3} to make our reference set more explicit.
One can argue that the probabilisitic notion of "independence" doesn't refer to that sort of independence, but a mere formal definition, namely P(A^B)=P(A)*P(B) and this fits more with our notions of independence for proper subsets A, B, of the reference set X. For example, for the set {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}, the subsets {1, 3, 5} and {2, 4, 6} have independent probabilities and this makes sense intituitively since neither have a connection like how a reference set and a subset of the reference set do.
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| | Posted 8/26/2008 1:54 AM - 219 Views - 2 eProps - 33 comments
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